Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000518 0.000600 0.000687 0.000787 0.000898 0.001017 0.001153
2025-07-06 0.000381 0.000491 0.000617 0.000771 0.000954 0.001161 0.001413
2025-07-13 0.000325 0.000449 0.000599 0.000790 0.001026 0.001303 0.001650
2025-07-20 0.000280 0.000413 0.000580 0.000803 0.001086 0.001429 0.001870
2025-07-27 0.000237 0.000372 0.000549 0.000793 0.001114 0.001513 0.002037
2025-08-03 0.000201 0.000334 0.000517 0.000778 0.001130 0.001578 0.002181
2025-08-10 0.000178 0.000313 0.000505 0.000787 0.001177 0.001683 0.002374
2025-08-17 0.000157 0.000292 0.000490 0.000789 0.001212 0.001771 0.002549
2025-08-24 0.000132 0.000260 0.000457 0.000762 0.001205 0.001803 0.002647
2025-08-31 0.000111 0.000233 0.000427 0.000738 0.001199 0.001833 0.002742
2025-09-07 0.000098 0.000217 0.000413 0.000735 0.001222 0.001903 0.002893
2025-09-14 0.000087 0.000203 0.000401 0.000733 0.001247 0.001975 0.003046
2025-09-21 0.000075 0.000187 0.000384 0.000724 0.001260 0.002032 0.003181
2025-09-28 0.000064 0.000170 0.000364 0.000709 0.001264 0.002075 0.003298
2025-10-05 0.000060 0.000165 0.000365 0.000727 0.001318 0.002191 0.003519
2025-10-12 0.000054 0.000159 0.000362 0.000739 0.001362 0.002294 0.003724
2025-10-19 0.000047 0.000147 0.000349 0.000730 0.001374 0.002348 0.003860
2025-10-26 0.000041 0.000134 0.000332 0.000715 0.001374 0.002385 0.003970
2025-11-02 0.000037 0.000129 0.000329 0.000724 0.001413 0.002480 0.004168
2025-11-09 0.000033 0.000122 0.000322 0.000726 0.001440 0.002558 0.004340
2025-11-16 0.000027 0.000109 0.000302 0.000701 0.001420 0.002563 0.004404
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000098 0.000283 0.000678 0.001403 0.002570 0.004470
2025-11-30 0.000020 0.000092 0.000275 0.000675 0.001420 0.002633 0.004621